Global Issuers and Bank of Canada Discuss Funding Strategies at 2026 Canadian Finance Conference
Representatives from major financial institutions and the Bank of Canada address market volatility, monetary policy, and investment trends at the 2026 Canadian Finance Conference.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 81% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 81% |
| 29 Sept, 16:31 UTC | 82% |
| 28 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 87% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Bank of Canada respond.
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 11 articles since 29 Sept 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 29 September at 16:09 UTC. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Markets, appeared on 29 September at 21:28 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Bank of Canada — the market puts it at 81%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if the Bank of Canada raises its overnight rate target and this action is confirmed by the relevant source agency before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if this specific confirmation does not occur within that timeframe. Readers often mistake any general discussion of interest rates for an actual rate hike or ignore the requirement for official confirmation.
- Maintains rate — the market puts it at 65%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 28 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Bank of Canada keeps interest rates unchanged by raising them zero basis points at its October 28, 2026 meeting. It resolves to No for any other outcome, including rate cuts or hikes greater than zero. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news conference for the actual resolution deadline.
- Maintains rate — the market puts it at 70%, with $13 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 9 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Bank of Canada keeps interest rates unchanged by hiking them zero basis points at its December 9, 2026 meeting. It resolves to No for any other outcome. Readers often mistake the date of the decision for the announcement date or assume a rate cut counts as maintaining the current rate.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Bank of Canada at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg MarketsNational Bank of Canada on the Economic Outlook87%
- Bloomberg MarketsCanada on the Cusp of Investment Surge, NBF’s Marion Says82%▼5 points since the previous source
- Bloomberg MarketsBank of Canada on Monetary Policy82%
- Bloomberg MarketsCEB, BNG on Funding Strategies to Meet Investor Demand.82%
- Bloomberg MarketsA New Era for World Bank Group Financing82%
- Bloomberg MarketsFinancing Indigenous Investment and Ownership82%
- Bloomberg MarketsGlobal Issuers on Funding Strategy82%
- Bloomberg MarketsLa Caisse, BCI on Bond Market Funding82%
- Bloomberg MarketsIDB Invest, IFC on the Social Impact of Macro Shocks82%
- Bloomberg MarketsOFA, CMHC on Public-Sector Funding82%
- Bloomberg MarketsCMHC on Canada’s Housing Market82%
- Current odds81%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- CMHC on Canada’s Housing Market Bloomberg Markets ·
- OFA, CMHC on Public-Sector Funding Bloomberg Markets ·
- IDB Invest, IFC on the Social Impact of Macro Shocks Bloomberg Markets ·
- La Caisse, BCI on Bond Market Funding Bloomberg Markets ·
- Global Issuers on Funding Strategy Bloomberg Markets ·
- Financing Indigenous Investment and Ownership Bloomberg Markets ·
Show 5 more sources
- A New Era for World Bank Group Financing Bloomberg Markets ·
- CEB, BNG on Funding Strategies to Meet Investor Demand. Bloomberg Markets ·
- Bank of Canada on Monetary Policy Bloomberg Markets ·
- Canada on the Cusp of Investment Surge, NBF’s Marion Says Bloomberg Markets ·
- National Bank of Canada on the Economic Outlook Bloomberg Markets ·
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Bank of Canada 81%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Maintains rate 65% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Maintains rate 70% +21
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Bank of Canada
- National Bank of Canada
- World Bank Group
- IDB Invest
- IFC
- La Caisse