Murakami Powers White Sox to Game 1 ALDS Victory Hot: $191k traded on its market in 24 hours
Munetaka Murakami leads the White Sox to a win in Game 1 of the American League Division Series.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 23% |
| 4 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 22% |
| 4 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Oct, 00:47 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Oct, 19:49 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 15:47 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 13:03 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 11:54 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 10:55 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 10:23 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 09:27 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 08:17 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 07:13 UTC | 10% |
| 3 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 10% |
| 3 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 05:29 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Oct, 04:38 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 21:42 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 15:09 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 12:51 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 07:42 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 07:22 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 06:17 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 05:05 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 17:22 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 16:06 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 11:04 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 10:49 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 09:38 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 09:03 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 08:26 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 07:34 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Oct, 06:22 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 04:03 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Oct, 02:57 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Oct, 02:21 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Oct, 01:27 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 00:15 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Sept, 23:53 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Sept, 23:13 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 22:59 UTC | 13% |
| 30 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 13% |
| 30 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 11% |
| 30 Sept, 20:39 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 18:07 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 14:23 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 13:48 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 13:08 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 12:45 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 12:24 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 11:47 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 11:25 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 10:36 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 09:04 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 08:57 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 08:06 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 07:58 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 07:22 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 06:55 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 06:27 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 05:38 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Sept, 05:24 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Sept, 04:27 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 03:56 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 03:13 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Sept, 01:44 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Sept, 01:23 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Sept, 00:40 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 9% |
| 29 Sept, 23:54 UTC | 9% |
| 29 Sept, 23:23 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Sept, 22:10 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 21:54 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 20:49 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 18:47 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 17:49 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 15:32 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 14:53 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 12:48 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 12:26 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 11:07 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Sept, 13:20 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Sept, 12:04 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Sept, 11:17 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Sept, 11:17 UTC | 8% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 3 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 3 October at 20:10 UTC; Latest articles followed 3h 08m later. The most recent article, from Latest articles, appeared on 3 October at 23:19 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: SI Feed, Latest articles.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? — the market puts it at 23%, with $34k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Dec 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series. The No outcome applies if any other team wins or if the White Sox are eliminated before securing that title. Readers often mistake the linked power rankings for the actual playoff results, but only the official championship winner counts.
- Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? — the market puts it at 7%, with $191k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Oct 2026. The market resolves to "Yes" if the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series and to "No" if they lose or are eliminated from playoff contention. The outcome depends on the official winner declared by Major League Baseball, with credible news reports serving as a backup source.
- Munetaka Murakami — the market puts it at 4%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Munetaka Murakami wins the 2026 World Series Most Valuable Player Award. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake a regular season MVP or an ALDS victory for the required World Series title.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? 23% +9
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? 7% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Munetaka Murakami 4% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Munetaka Murakami
- White Sox