Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?
The market favoured No at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$70k
Total volume$3.2M
Liquidity$0
Resolved31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 11 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 02:24 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 2% |
| 11 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 00:51 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 00:26 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Oct, 22:13 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Oct, 21:47 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Oct, 18:52 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Oct, 10:51 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Oct, 05:59 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Oct, 00:46 UTC | 5% |
| 9 Oct, 23:32 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 23:05 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 21:02 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 10:47 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 08:35 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 08:28 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 05:20 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 23:56 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 18:46 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 14:44 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 12:09 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 11:46 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 11:18 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 10:45 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 10:23 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 08:24 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 07:58 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 05:39 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 04:31 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 8% |
| 7 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 8% |
| 7 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 8% |
| 7 Oct, 22:12 UTC | 9% |
| 7 Oct, 21:58 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 11% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 11% |
| 7 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 17:23 UTC | 11% |
| 7 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 14:26 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 11% |
| 7 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 11% |
| 7 Oct, 11:42 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 11:10 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 10:29 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 11% |
| 7 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 11% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 11% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 11% |
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series and to "No" if they lose or are eliminated from playoff contention. The outcome depends on the official winner declared by Major League Baseball, with credible news reports serving as a backup source.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →