Morgan Stanley Raises Lockheed Martin Price Target on F-35 Deal
The investment bank sets a street-high valuation for the defense contractor following its long-term fighter jet contract.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 1 Nov, 03:47 UTC | 10% |
| 1 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 9% |
| 31 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 11:38 UTC | 10% |
| 28 Oct, 19:40 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 9% |
| 22 Oct, 13:27 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 03:57 UTC | 8% |
| 21 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 01:24 UTC | 8% |
| 20 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 16:31 UTC | 6% |
| 18 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 9% |
| 16 Oct, 09:47 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Oct, 03:03 UTC | 6% |
| 14 Oct, 14:03 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 9% |
| 13 Oct, 23:33 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 6% |
| 12 Oct, 14:04 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Oct, 05:00 UTC | 10% |
| 11 Oct, 01:10 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 15:04 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Oct, 06:33 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 8% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Oct, 07:45 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Oct, 05:21 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 02:36 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Oct, 12:51 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 12:14 UTC | 14% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 30 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 30 October at 13:47 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Lockheed Martin — the market puts it at 10%, with $44 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. federal government acquires any ownership stake in Lockheed Martin before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about the CEO’s strategy for a government action, but only actual government investment counts.
- Above 130 — the market puts it at 77%, closing 26 Apr 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Lockheed Martin delivers more than 130 F-35 aircraft during fiscal year 2026. It resolves to No if deliveries are 130 or fewer. Readers often mistake the announcement of a contract for actual deliveries, but only the final count in fiscal 2026 matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Lockheed Martin 10%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Above 130 77%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Lockheed Martin Corp.
- Morgan Stanley
- Wall Street