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Monet Painting Sells for $56 Million at Sotheby's Auction in France

The rarely exhibited work 'Iris' from the Schlumberger family collection surpassed estimates to set a new French auction record.

3 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 22 Oct 2026 · updated 1h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by Quartz, 1h 02m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

The odds

How the odds moved · Above $110,747,000
0%50%100%12%16 Oct, 09:47 UTCnowThe New York Times: Monet Painting Sells for $56 Million in France · 22 Oct, 20:25 UTCARTnews.com: Monet Painting Sells for $56.2 M., Setting French Auction Record at Sotheby’s Paris · 22 Oct, 21:13 UTCQuartz: Never-exhibited Monet sets France auction record with $56 million sale · 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now12%
17 Oct, 00:17 UTC12%
16 Oct, 09:47 UTC15%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 22 Oct 2026. Quartz published first, on 22 October at 19:23 UTC; The New York Times followed 1h 02m later. The most recent article, from ARTnews.com, appeared on 22 October at 21:13 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The New York Times (major outlet), Quartz, ARTnews.com.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Above $110,747,000 — the market puts it at 12%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a Claude Monet painting sells for more than $110,747,000 at any public auction in 2026. It resolves to No if no Monet artwork exceeds that price during the year. Readers often mistake the linked Van Gogh auction for the relevant event, but only Monet sales count.
  • Above $25M — the market puts it at 15%, closing 19 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if the final hammer price for Monet's *Le Jardin des Tuileries* exceeds $25 million at the Sotheby's auction on November 18, 2026. The outcome is No if that final price is $25 million or less. Readers often mistake the headline price for the final result, but only the official hammer price during the live auction counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Above $110,747,000 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. QuartzNever-exhibited Monet sets France auction record with $56 million sale12%
  2. The New York TimesMonet Painting Sells for $56 Million in France12%
  3. ARTnews.comMonet Painting Sells for $56.2 M., Setting French Auction Record at Sotheby’s Paris12%
  4. Current odds12%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Monet Painting Sells for $56 Million in France The New York Times ·
  2. Monet Painting Sells for $56.2 M., Setting French Auction Record at Sotheby’s Paris ARTnews.com
  3. Never-exhibited Monet sets France auction record with $56 million sale Quartz

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Above $110,747,000 12% $0 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Above $25M 15% $0 24hends 19 Nov 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Monet
  • Sotheby's
  • Schlumberger family
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