Above $25M
Implied probability 15%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves19 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 15% |
| 21 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 15% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the final hammer price for Monet's *Le Jardin des Tuileries* exceeds $25 million at the Sotheby's auction on November 18, 2026. The outcome is No if that final price is $25 million or less. Readers often mistake the headline price for the final result, but only the official hammer price during the live auction counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 15%
- No 85%