Miley Cyrus Kicks Off 'Bass Persuades' Shows at Hollywood Bowl Hot: Odds moved 34 points in 24 hours
The pop star performs her first headlining shows in years at the Los Angeles venue.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 44% |
| 17 Oct, 07:40 UTC | 44% |
| 17 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 45% |
| 17 Oct, 04:16 UTC | 45% |
| 15 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 42% |
| 15 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 38% |
| 15 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 42% |
| 15 Oct, 13:10 UTC | 47% |
| 15 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 53% |
| 15 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 50% |
| 14 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 53% |
| 14 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 52% |
| 14 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 54% |
| 14 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 59% |
| 14 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 55% |
| 14 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 54% |
| 14 Oct, 09:17 UTC | 55% |
| 14 Oct, 06:49 UTC | 54% |
| 14 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 56% |
| 14 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 55% |
| 14 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 57% |
| 14 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 59% |
| 14 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 43% |
| 11 Oct, 21:43 UTC | 44% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 17 Oct 2026. Variety published first, on 17 October at 03:37 UTC; The Hollywood Reporter followed 1h 11m later. The most recent article, from The Hollywood Reporter, appeared on 17 October at 04:48 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet).
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Miley Cyrus — the market puts it at 44%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 15 Feb 2027. The outcome is Yes if Miley Cyrus is officially announced as the headliner for the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before February 15, 2027. The outcome is No if that specific announcement does not occur by that deadline. Readers often mistake any other performance or headline for this resolution, but only the official halftime show announcement counts.
- Miley Cyrus — the market puts it at 17%, with $38 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The outcome is Yes if Miley Cyrus headlines Coachella in 2027. The outcome is No if she does not headline that specific event. Readers often mistake other performances or festivals for the required Coachella appearance.
- Miley Cyrus — the market puts it at 64%, with $949 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 15 Feb 2027. The outcome is Yes if Miley Cyrus performs at or has an announced performance for the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show on February 14, 2027. The outcome is No if she does not perform or have an announced performance for that specific event. Readers often mistake this market as resolving based on her recent Hollywood Bowl shows instead of the designated halftime appearance.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Miley Cyrus 44% −5
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Miley Cyrus 17% −34
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Miley Cyrus 64% −5
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Miley Cyrus
- Hollywood Bowl