NewsMarkets

Business

Mexico Inflation Accelerates Ahead of Banxico Rate Decision

Annual inflation rose more than expected in October, intensifying scrutiny of the central bank's recent interest rate cut.

1 publisher · 2 articles · first seen 9 Nov 2026 · updated 3d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?
0%50%100%5%4 Nov, 19:07 UTCnowBloomberg Markets: Colombian Inflation Accelerates Less Than Forecast to 6.30% · 9 Nov, 23:11 UTCBloomberg Markets: Mexico’s Inflation Accelerates With Banxico Rate Policy in Focus · 9 Nov, 12:28 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now5%
11 Nov, 22:45 UTC5%
11 Nov, 22:06 UTC5%
11 Nov, 21:58 UTC6%
11 Nov, 18:25 UTC5%
11 Nov, 17:43 UTC5%
11 Nov, 17:29 UTC5%
11 Nov, 16:25 UTC5%
11 Nov, 07:15 UTC5%
11 Nov, 05:42 UTC5%
11 Nov, 05:29 UTC5%
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC5%
11 Nov, 01:53 UTC5%
11 Nov, 01:18 UTC5%
10 Nov, 23:56 UTC5%
10 Nov, 23:15 UTC5%
10 Nov, 22:40 UTC5%
10 Nov, 22:17 UTC5%
10 Nov, 21:50 UTC5%
10 Nov, 21:08 UTC5%
10 Nov, 20:41 UTC5%
10 Nov, 14:48 UTC6%
10 Nov, 02:40 UTC6%
9 Nov, 22:37 UTC6%
9 Nov, 20:11 UTC6%
9 Nov, 14:36 UTC5%
9 Nov, 14:01 UTC4%
9 Nov, 13:53 UTC5%
8 Nov, 07:16 UTC10%
8 Nov, 02:28 UTC10%
8 Nov, 01:54 UTC11%
8 Nov, 01:05 UTC11%
8 Nov, 00:14 UTC11%
7 Nov, 21:22 UTC11%
7 Nov, 20:48 UTC11%
7 Nov, 20:28 UTC12%
7 Nov, 19:40 UTC18%
7 Nov, 19:26 UTC19%
7 Nov, 17:30 UTC19%
7 Nov, 17:23 UTC19%
7 Nov, 15:46 UTC19%
7 Nov, 15:18 UTC19%
7 Nov, 14:34 UTC19%
7 Nov, 13:47 UTC19%
7 Nov, 13:26 UTC19%
7 Nov, 12:58 UTC19%
7 Nov, 12:24 UTC19%
7 Nov, 11:45 UTC20%
7 Nov, 09:10 UTC20%
7 Nov, 08:43 UTC20%
7 Nov, 07:21 UTC20%
7 Nov, 05:43 UTC20%
7 Nov, 00:30 UTC20%
7 Nov, 00:09 UTC20%
6 Nov, 22:06 UTC20%
6 Nov, 21:38 UTC19%
6 Nov, 21:23 UTC19%
6 Nov, 20:53 UTC19%
6 Nov, 20:17 UTC19%
6 Nov, 19:40 UTC19%
6 Nov, 19:03 UTC19%
6 Nov, 18:56 UTC20%
6 Nov, 18:19 UTC20%
6 Nov, 16:20 UTC21%
6 Nov, 12:00 UTC23%
6 Nov, 11:29 UTC22%
6 Nov, 10:27 UTC22%
6 Nov, 09:58 UTC22%
6 Nov, 09:23 UTC21%
6 Nov, 08:48 UTC24%
6 Nov, 08:20 UTC22%
6 Nov, 07:59 UTC22%
6 Nov, 07:24 UTC23%
6 Nov, 04:06 UTC26%
6 Nov, 03:23 UTC26%
6 Nov, 02:52 UTC25%
6 Nov, 02:14 UTC25%
6 Nov, 01:52 UTC24%
6 Nov, 01:24 UTC22%
6 Nov, 00:55 UTC25%
6 Nov, 00:27 UTC25%
5 Nov, 23:58 UTC24%
5 Nov, 23:29 UTC23%
5 Nov, 22:54 UTC26%
5 Nov, 22:11 UTC24%
5 Nov, 21:56 UTC23%
5 Nov, 19:07 UTC27%
4 Nov, 19:07 UTC23%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 2 articles since 9 Nov 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 9 November at 12:28 UTC. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Markets, appeared on 9 November at 23:11 UTC.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%? — the market puts it at 5%, with $53 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 9 Jan 2027. The Yes outcome occurs if Mexico’s annual inflation rate for December 2026 falls between 3.00% and 3.49%. The No outcome applies if that specific rate is outside that range. Readers often mistake the linked interest rate cut for the resolution data, but only the INEGI Consumer Price Index report released in January 2027 counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Colombian Inflation Accelerates Less Than Forecast to 6.30% Bloomberg Markets ·
  2. Mexico’s Inflation Accelerates With Banxico Rate Policy in Focus Bloomberg Markets ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Polymarket Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%? 5% $53 24hends 9 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Alert me when the odds move

Email: we send a link to confirm first, and you can unsubscribe in one click. Browser notifications need no email and are turned off on the Following page. At most one alert every six hours either way. Privacy

In this story

  • Mexico
  • Banxico
Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.