Meta's Alexandr Wang Touted as Potential Successor to Mark Zuckerberg
The head of the company’s Superintelligence Labs is being considered for the top role.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 07:54 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 19:20 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 20:45 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 17:25 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 12:23 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 10:05 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 08:57 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 4% |
| 14 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 4% |
| 14 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 4% |
| 14 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 22:52 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 22:11 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 12:01 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 10:51 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 03:01 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Oct, 23:08 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Oct, 22:01 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Oct, 21:26 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 18:54 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 18:16 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 17:12 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 03:37 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 22:02 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 00:51 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 00:26 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 18:08 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 17:55 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 3% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 16 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 16 October at 16:31 UTC; Fortune followed 19h 24m later. The most recent article, from Fortune, appeared on 17 October at 11:55 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: News Feed (major outlet), Fortune.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? — the market puts it at 3%, with $657 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves by checking the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET to see which company owns the model with the highest rank. If ranks are tied, the system uses the precise arena score and then alphabetical order of company names as tiebreakers.
- Meta — the market puts it at 12%, with $118 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Meta launches an AI model that ranks number one in app stores before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if this does not happen by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a specific agent for the final resolution, but only the official ranking status and deadline matter.
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? — the market puts it at 0%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Meta owns the model with the highest rank on the specified arena.ai leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on October 31, 2026. It resolves to No if any other company holds that top spot or if the source becomes permanently unavailable. Readers often mistake the resolution time for the end of the day rather than the specific 12:00 PM ET deadline.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? 3%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Meta 12%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Alexandr Wang
- Meta
- Mark Zuckerberg