Longshot Bid to Block Paramount-Warner Bros. Discovery Merger Filed to Supreme Court
Paramount subscribers file a longshot bid to halt the merger until the Supreme Court considers their case.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 4 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 95% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 95% |
| 30 Sept, 11:03 UTC | 96% |
| 30 Sept, 08:35 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Sept, 06:05 UTC | 98% |
| 30 Sept, 03:49 UTC | 98% |
| 30 Sept, 01:01 UTC | 94% |
| 29 Sept, 23:54 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Sept, 22:38 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 22:02 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Sept, 19:02 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 94% |
| 29 Sept, 16:15 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Sept, 13:35 UTC | 94% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 97% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 5 Oct 2026. The Hollywood Reporter published first, on 5 October at 21:32 UTC; Deadline followed 1h 25m later. The most recent article, from Deadline, appeared on 5 October at 22:57 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), Deadline.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Paramount — the market puts it at 99%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jul 2027. The market resolves to Yes if there are qualifying public announcements indicating that Paramount successfully takes over Warner Bros. before July 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline as the end of the announcement period rather than the cutoff for when the takeover must be confirmed.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Paramount 99%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Paramount
- Warner Bros. Discovery
- Supreme Court