UFC
Why it moved: −21 points at 16:18 UTC, after Deadline: ParaBros Merger Settlement Sign-Off Delayed As Deal Foes Granted Hail Mary Move By Judge — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 54% |
| 24 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 54% |
| 23 Sept, 16:02 UTC | 75% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Paramount representative mentions UFC during the upcoming earnings call or its question-and-answer session. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the source of truth, assuming any news report counts instead of only statements made by Paramount representatives on that specific call.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 54%
- No 46%