Last Republican Who Voted To Impeach Trump Loses Re-election Bid

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 5 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 5 November at 00:33 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Donald Trump — the market puts it at 13%, with $109 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump becomes the first official named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives between now and January 1, 2028. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of his term rather than the fixed date of January 1, 2028.
• Before his term ends — the market puts it at 24%, with $16k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if the U.S. President is impeached by the House of Representatives and convicted by the Senate before January 20, 2029. The outcome is No if this does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about firing aides for the actual impeachment process.
• Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? — the market puts it at 67%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if the US House of Representatives passes one or more articles of impeachment by simple majority vote before January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. It resolves to No if no such action occurs within that timeframe. Readers often mistakenly believe that a Senate trial, conviction, or removal from office is required for the Yes outcome.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.