Larry Ellison Lists Palm Beach Estate for $165 Million Amid Controversy Over Staff Housing
Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison lists his Florida mansion for $165 million while facing local backlash over purchasing nearby homes for staff.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 3% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 4 Oct 2026. Times of India published first, on 4 October at 05:41 UTC; MarketWatch followed 27h 24m later. The most recent article, from MarketWatch, appeared on 5 October at 09:05 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Times of India, MarketWatch.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Larry Ellison — the market puts it at 3%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Larry Ellison ranks among the three wealthiest individuals globally on December 31, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not meet this ranking by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his real estate listing for the determining factor, but only his net worth ranking on the specific deadline matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Larry Ellison 3%
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In this story
- Larry Ellison
- Oracle
- Palm Beach County
- Palm Meadows Estates