Larry Ellison
Implied probability 3%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Larry Ellison ranks among the three wealthiest individuals globally on December 31, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not meet this ranking by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his real estate listing for the determining factor, but only his net worth ranking on the specific deadline matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%