Judge Limits Candace Owens’s Liability in Macron Defamation Case
A judge ruled that while the court has jurisdiction over her companies, it does not extend to Candace Owens personally in the defamation suit brought by Emmanuel and Brigitte Macron.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 45% |
| 29 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 45% |
| 28 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 43% |
| 28 Oct, 02:58 UTC | 44% |
| 27 Oct, 01:50 UTC | 54% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 28 Oct 2026. The New York Times published first, on 28 October at 02:19 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Before 2028 — the market puts it at 45%, with $54 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if the Delaware Superior Court rules in favor of Brigitte Macron in the defamation case against Candace Owens before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date of the court's ruling rather than the date by which the ruling must occur.
- Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 0%, with $21k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Candace Owens wins and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, as confirmed by official party sources. It resolves to No in all other cases, including if she loses the nomination or if another candidate replaces her before election day. Readers often mistake the linked legal case for a relevant political event, but only the final nomination outcome matters.
- Candace Owens — the market puts it at 1%, closing 7 Nov 2028. The outcome is Yes if Candace Owens wins the Republican presidential nomination in 2028 and accepts it. The outcome is No if she does not win or accept that specific nomination. Readers often mistake unrelated legal news, such as the linked story about a defamation case, for determining the result.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Before 2028 45% +2
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- Polymarket Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Candace Owens 1%
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In this story
- Candace Owens
- Emmanuel Macron
- Brigitte Macron