Josh Kushner and OpenAI-backed group agree deal for US home security firm ADT

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 29 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 29 October at 14:49 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• OpenAI — the market puts it at 12%, with $2 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if the U.S. federal government acquires a stake in any legal vehicle that primarily owns OpenAI's for-profit operating entity before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the deadline or the specific definition of "legal vehicle".
• Citigroup — the market puts it at 4%, closing 1 Jan 2028. The outcome is Yes if Citigroup acts as the lead-left underwriter for OpenAI's US initial public offering before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked story about Citi's general IPO ranking for the specific requirement of leading OpenAI's deal.
• Information Technology — the market puts it at 86%, closing 11 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if OpenAI is officially classified in the Information Technology sector. It resolves to No if that classification does not happen. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about OpenAI's actions rather than its corporate sector assignment.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.