Iran's Hidden Leader Mojtaba Khamenei Sparks Unease With Absence
The prolonged absence of Mojtaba Khamenei from public view causes bafflement and suspicion within Iran.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 88% |
| 1 Oct, 07:09 UTC | 88% |
| 1 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 88% |
| 1 Oct, 01:12 UTC | 87% |
| 30 Sept, 22:51 UTC | 87% |
| 30 Sept, 20:01 UTC | 86% |
| 30 Sept, 18:14 UTC | 87% |
| 30 Sept, 17:36 UTC | 87% |
| 30 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 87% |
| 30 Sept, 16:26 UTC | 87% |
| 30 Sept, 08:43 UTC | 88% |
| 30 Sept, 07:02 UTC | 88% |
| 29 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 88% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 88% |
| 29 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 88% |
| 29 Sept, 12:11 UTC | 88% |
| 29 Sept, 08:48 UTC | 88% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Sept, 09:26 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Sept, 08:38 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Sept, 15:10 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Sept, 10:30 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Sept, 10:22 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Sept, 01:24 UTC | 88% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 88% |
| 26 Sept, 16:56 UTC | 87% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 88% |
| 26 Sept, 08:02 UTC | 87% |
| 26 Sept, 05:08 UTC | 87% |
| 26 Sept, 02:09 UTC | 87% |
| 26 Sept, 01:54 UTC | 87% |
| 26 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 87% |
| 25 Sept, 22:16 UTC | 88% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 88% |
| 25 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 88% |
| 25 Sept, 19:46 UTC | 88% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 88% |
| 25 Sept, 16:19 UTC | 88% |
| 25 Sept, 15:57 UTC | 86% |
| 25 Sept, 15:27 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Sept, 12:04 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Sept, 08:20 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Sept, 02:53 UTC | 85% |
| 24 Sept, 18:17 UTC | 85% |
| 24 Sept, 15:25 UTC | 84% |
| 24 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 84% |
| 24 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 84% |
| 24 Sept, 13:32 UTC | 85% |
| 24 Sept, 12:55 UTC | 85% |
| 24 Sept, 12:23 UTC | 85% |
| 23 Sept, 21:09 UTC | 85% |
| 22 Sept, 23:28 UTC | 85% |
| 22 Sept, 21:40 UTC | 84% |
| 22 Sept, 21:06 UTC | 85% |
| 22 Sept, 18:34 UTC | 85% |
| 22 Sept, 12:47 UTC | 85% |
| 22 Sept, 11:59 UTC | 84% |
| 22 Sept, 07:57 UTC | 84% |
| 22 Sept, 06:21 UTC | 84% |
| 21 Sept, 22:41 UTC | 84% |
| 21 Sept, 14:48 UTC | 84% |
| 21 Sept, 11:31 UTC | 84% |
| 21 Sept, 11:23 UTC | 84% |
| 21 Sept, 05:55 UTC | 84% |
| 21 Sept, 04:00 UTC | 84% |
| 21 Sept, 02:40 UTC | 84% |
| 20 Sept, 21:46 UTC | 84% |
| 20 Sept, 18:52 UTC | 84% |
| 20 Sept, 15:55 UTC | 84% |
| 20 Sept, 04:09 UTC | 84% |
| 19 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 84% |
| 19 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 84% |
| 19 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 84% |
| 19 Sept, 08:59 UTC | 84% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 84% |
| 18 Sept, 00:10 UTC | 84% |
| 17 Sept, 14:02 UTC | 84% |
| 17 Sept, 13:56 UTC | 84% |
| 17 Sept, 13:21 UTC | 84% |
| 17 Sept, 09:23 UTC | 83% |
| 17 Sept, 08:50 UTC | 83% |
| 17 Sept, 07:16 UTC | 83% |
| 17 Sept, 05:19 UTC | 83% |
| 17 Sept, 03:53 UTC | 83% |
| 17 Sept, 03:24 UTC | 83% |
| 17 Sept, 01:42 UTC | 83% |
| 17 Sept, 00:40 UTC | 84% |
| 17 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 83% |
| 16 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 84% |
| 15 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 83% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 16 Sept 2026. International homepage published first, on 16 September at 04:00 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? — the market puts it at 88%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? — resolved “No” on 1 Oct 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? 88%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? No 32d ago
The market favoured No at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Mojtaba Khamenei
- Iran