IMF Raises Japan’s 2026 Growth Forecast to 0.7%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 13 Oct 2026. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines published first, on 13 October at 03:57 UTC; Latest articles followed 4h 26m later. The most recent article, from France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, appeared on 13 October at 09:32 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, Latest articles.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Before 2027 — the market puts it at 3%, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the International Monetary Fund officially declares a global recession in its World Economic Outlook reports before 2027. It resolves to No if that specific declaration does not occur within the deadline. Readers often mistake general economic downturns or news headlines for an official IMF declaration.
• Above $4.6 trillion — the market puts it at 2%, closing 1 Apr 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Japan's nominal GDP exceeds $4.6 trillion in 2026. It resolves to No if the figure stays at or below that amount. Readers often mistake the linked IMF growth forecast for the actual GDP value.
• Japan — the market puts it at 15%, with $200 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 18 Feb 2027. The outcome is Yes if Japan's holdings of U.S. Treasury securities in December 2026 exceed its holdings from December 2025. The comparison uses the first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that includes the December 2026 data. Readers often mistake preliminary reports or other tables for the official source of truth.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.