IDF Reserve Members Release Counter-Doc to Gaza Film 'NAZA'
A rebuttal documentary titled 'NAZA: The Real Story' has surfaced online, created by IDF reserve members in response to the original film.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 86% |
| 1 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 86% |
| 29 Sept, 11:14 UTC | 85% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 5 Oct 2026. Variety published first, on 5 October at 11:01 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- NAZA — the market puts it at 86%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film NAZA is officially nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the theatrical release or streaming availability for a nomination.
- NAZA — the market puts it at 33%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The outcome is Yes if the film NAZA wins the Oscar for Best Documentary Feature at the 99th Academy Awards. The outcome is No if it does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake the streaming release on The Guardian for the resolution condition, but only the official Oscar result matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi NAZA 86%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi NAZA 33%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- IDF
- Venice Film Festival