NAZA
Implied probability 39%+4
24-hour volume$165
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 39% |
| 1 Oct, 01:20 UTC | 39% |
| 28 Sept, 01:03 UTC | 35% |
| 25 Sept, 22:02 UTC | 33% |
| 25 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 37% |
| 25 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 23% |
| 25 Sept, 03:37 UTC | 54% |
| 24 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 32% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the film NAZA wins the Oscar for Best Documentary Feature at the 99th Academy Awards. The outcome is No if it does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake the streaming release on The Guardian for the resolution condition, but only the official Oscar result matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 39%
- No 61%