Hermès Faces Rare Sell Calls as Goldman, UBS Warn of Slowing Growth Hot: Odds moved 25 points in 24 hours
Analysts at Goldman Sachs and UBS downgrade Hermès, warning that the luxury brand's impressive growth era is ending.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 5 Oct, 09:47 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Oct, 08:47 UTC | 72% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 5 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 5 October at 09:39 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Above $250K — the market puts it at 97%, with $5 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a Hermès Birkin bag sells for more than $250,000 at a Sotheby's auction in 2026. It resolves to No if no such sale occurs during that year. Readers often mistake the source of truth, assuming any private sale or other auction house counts instead of only Sotheby's.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Above $250K 97% +25
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In this story
- Hermès International SCA
- Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
- UBS Group AG