Hamilton Calls Trump's 'Perverted Pastor' Remarks Pathetic in Kansas
The Democratic Senate candidate condemns the President's insults during a rally for Republican incumbent Roger Marshall.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 06:50 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 06:07 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 04:33 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 02:49 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 02:19 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 01:49 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Nov, 00:22 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 22% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 26% |
| 3 Nov, 20:34 UTC | 22% |
| 3 Nov, 19:21 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 26% |
| 3 Nov, 18:29 UTC | 25% |
| 3 Nov, 16:26 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 24% |
| 3 Nov, 14:39 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 14:25 UTC | 26% |
| 3 Nov, 12:36 UTC | 22% |
| 3 Nov, 07:05 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Nov, 05:32 UTC | 24% |
| 3 Nov, 03:47 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 03:05 UTC | 25% |
| 3 Nov, 02:30 UTC | 24% |
| 3 Nov, 02:01 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 00:26 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 23:01 UTC | 23% |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 19:33 UTC | 24% |
| 1 Nov, 19:06 UTC | 22% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 2 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 2 November at 19:26 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Adam Hamilton, 0-2% — the market puts it at 1%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if Adam Hamilton wins the 2026 Kansas Senate election by a margin of victory between 0% and 2%. The outcome is No if he loses or wins by more than 2%. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on the date of the news story rather than the official election results.
- Adam Hamilton — the market puts it at 1%, with $303k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028. The outcome is Yes if Adam Hamilton wins and accepts the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028. The outcome is No if he does not win or accept that specific nomination. Readers often mistake his public comments on political figures for an actual campaign launch.
- Will Adam Hamilton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 1%, with $363k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Adam Hamilton wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, as confirmed by official party sources. It resolves to No in all other cases, including if he loses the nomination or if another candidate replaces him before election day.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Adam Hamilton, 0-2% 1% −22
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- Kalshi Adam Hamilton 1% −1
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- Polymarket Will Adam Hamilton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 1%
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In this story
- Adam Hamilton
- Donald Trump
- Roger Marshall