Hinson Calls House to Act on Diesel Prices Amid Iran War Concerns
Republican Senate candidate Ashley Hinson urges Congress to suspend gas taxes and pause diesel exports as voter frustration over the economy grows amid the conflict in Iran.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 04:33 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 03:41 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Nov, 02:26 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 01:49 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 26% |
| 4 Nov, 00:22 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 23:31 UTC | 34% |
| 3 Nov, 23:03 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 41% |
| 3 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 42% |
| 3 Nov, 19:35 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 18:29 UTC | 39% |
| 3 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 40% |
| 3 Nov, 16:26 UTC | 34% |
| 3 Nov, 15:07 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 14:25 UTC | 37% |
| 3 Nov, 10:52 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 10:22 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 07:05 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 05:12 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 39% |
| 3 Nov, 03:19 UTC | 37% |
| 3 Nov, 02:01 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Nov, 22:24 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Nov, 21:12 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 20:37 UTC | 34% |
| 2 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 17:49 UTC | 34% |
| 2 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 33% |
| 2 Nov, 16:12 UTC | 34% |
| 2 Nov, 15:19 UTC | 33% |
| 2 Nov, 12:56 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Nov, 11:36 UTC | 40% |
| 2 Nov, 11:04 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Nov, 03:06 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Nov, 02:37 UTC | 39% |
| 2 Nov, 00:04 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Nov, 22:39 UTC | 43% |
| 1 Nov, 00:56 UTC | 41% |
| 31 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 42% |
| 31 Oct, 23:11 UTC | 45% |
| 31 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 44% |
| 31 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 40% |
| 31 Oct, 15:44 UTC | 41% |
| 31 Oct, 13:31 UTC | 42% |
| 31 Oct, 12:32 UTC | 41% |
| 31 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Oct, 20:08 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 42% |
| 30 Oct, 06:21 UTC | 41% |
| 30 Oct, 03:47 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Oct, 23:33 UTC | 40% |
| 29 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 37% |
| 29 Oct, 21:07 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Oct, 18:35 UTC | 37% |
| 29 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 40% |
| 29 Oct, 05:22 UTC | 41% |
| 28 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 44% |
| 28 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 40% |
| 28 Oct, 16:24 UTC | 43% |
| 28 Oct, 14:42 UTC | 42% |
| 28 Oct, 12:04 UTC | 41% |
| 27 Oct, 20:10 UTC | 42% |
| 27 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 43% |
| 27 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 40% |
| 27 Oct, 16:30 UTC | 41% |
| 27 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 43% |
| 27 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 42% |
| 27 Oct, 08:27 UTC | 41% |
| 27 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 42% |
| 27 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 41% |
| 27 Oct, 01:32 UTC | 43% |
| 26 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 41% |
| 26 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 42% |
| 25 Oct, 13:10 UTC | 43% |
| 25 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 42% |
| 23 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 43% |
| 23 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 43% |
| 22 Oct, 09:11 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 43% |
| 20 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 44% |
| 18 Oct, 03:36 UTC | 45% |
| 16 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 44% |
| 14 Oct, 11:31 UTC | 47% |
| 13 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 43% |
| 13 Oct, 08:53 UTC | 46% |
| 10 Oct, 11:41 UTC | 43% |
| 9 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 40% |
| 9 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 44% |
| 9 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 38% |
| 9 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 39% |
| 9 Oct, 02:07 UTC | 46% |
| 8 Oct, 18:46 UTC | 45% |
| 8 Oct, 16:30 UTC | 44% |
| 8 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 43% |
| 8 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 45% |
| 8 Oct, 00:47 UTC | 38% |
| 7 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 44% |
| 7 Oct, 13:33 UTC | 38% |
| 5 Oct, 20:45 UTC | 42% |
| 5 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 45% |
| 5 Oct, 04:13 UTC | 41% |
| 5 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 44% |
| 3 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 43% |
| 1 Oct, 01:27 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 46% |
| 28 Sept, 10:16 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Sept, 19:27 UTC | 40% |
| 27 Sept, 06:10 UTC | 37% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 45% |
| 25 Sept, 09:44 UTC | 40% |
| 24 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 54% |
| 24 Sept, 13:24 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Sept, 16:19 UTC | 45% |
| 22 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 50% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Hinson, 2+ pts respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 21 Sept 2026. The Hill published first, on 21 September at 17:36 UTC; Fox News Politics followed 40h 50m later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 23 September at 22:35 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Fox News Politics.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Hinson, 2+ pts — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Republicans win the 2026 Iowa Senate race by a margin of at least two percentage points. The outcome is No if they win by less than that margin or lose the election. Readers often mistake the source of truth, which is the official certified election results rather than early polls or news reports.
- Zach Lahn and Ashley Hinson win — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if both the Iowa Governor and Iowa Senate races are won by Republicans. The outcome is No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked story about diesel prices for a relevant factor, but only the party affiliation of the winners determines the result.
- Josh Turek — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Josh Turek wins the 2026 Iowa Senate election. It resolves to No if he does not win. Readers often mistake the linked news story about diesel prices for the actual event that determines the outcome.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Hinson, 2+ pts at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The HillGOP Senate nominee Hinson: Iowans 'shouldn’t have to foot the bill' for Iran war—
- The HillHinson trails Turek by 8 points in new Iowa Senate poll50%
- Fox News PoliticsTrump-backed Iowa US Senate hopeful says Iran war must 'be brought to a successful and immediate end'50%
- The Hill NewsHinson calls on House to return ‘immediately’ to tackle diesel prices50%
- The HillFarm state Republicans feel the pressure from rising diesel prices45%▼5 points since the previous source
- Market resolved: No
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Farm state Republicans feel the pressure from rising diesel prices The Hill ·
- Hinson calls on House to return ‘immediately’ to tackle diesel prices The Hill News ·
- Hinson trails Turek by 8 points in new Iowa Senate poll The Hill ·
- GOP Senate nominee Hinson: Iowans 'shouldn’t have to foot the bill' for Iran war The Hill ·
- Trump-backed Iowa US Senate hopeful says Iran war must 'be brought to a successful and immediate end' Fox News Politics
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Hinson, 2+ pts No 3d ago
The market favoured No at 64% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Zach Lahn and Ashley Hinson win No 3d ago
The market favoured No at 89% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Josh Turek Yes 3d ago
The market favoured Yes at 52% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Ashley Hinson
- Josh Turek
- Iran
- House