Google Signs $4.3bn Nuclear Power Deal With Constellation Energy Hot: Odds moved 12 points in 24 hours
The tech giant agreed to a 20-year power purchase agreement that will drive more than $4.3 billion in investments to upgrade systems at 11 reactors.
First reported by Quartz, 1h 00m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 56% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 57% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 79% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 68% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 75% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 76% |
| 6 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 68% |
| 5 Oct, 22:15 UTC | 69% |
| 5 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 75% |
| 5 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 69% |
| 5 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 81% |
| 5 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 85% |
| 5 Oct, 13:39 UTC | 70% |
| 5 Oct, 12:03 UTC | 65% |
| 5 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 85% |
| 5 Oct, 04:40 UTC | 65% |
| 5 Oct, 00:43 UTC | 66% |
| 4 Oct, 23:32 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 64% |
| 3 Oct, 01:14 UTC | 60% |
| 2 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 67% |
| 2 Oct, 20:18 UTC | 66% |
| 2 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 60% |
| 2 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Oct, 05:20 UTC | 66% |
| 30 Sept, 23:06 UTC | 64% |
| 30 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 65% |
| 30 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 57% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Oil / Gas / Gasoline respond.
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 8 articles since 6 Oct 2026. Quartz published first, on 6 October at 11:20 UTC; MarketWatch followed 1h 01m later. The most recent article, from www.theregister.com, appeared on 6 October at 23:08 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), The Verge (major outlet), Quartz, MarketWatch, www.theregister.com.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline — the market puts it at 56%, with $659 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Mar 2027. The market resolves to Yes if any Constellation Brands, Inc. representative mentions Oil, Gas, or Gasoline during the next earnings call, including the question-and-answer session. The outcome is No if this specific topic does not appear in that designated discussion.
- Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter — the market puts it at 57%, closing 1 Apr 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Tesla deploys more than 15 GWh of energy products in any single quarter between Q1 2025 and Q1 2027. It resolves to No if the company fails to meet this threshold during that period. Readers often mistake the linked news story about the US Energy Department for the relevant data source, but only Tesla's deployment figures count.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Oil / Gas / Gasoline at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- QuartzGoogle and Constellation sign 20-year nuclear power deal worth $4.3 billion68%
- MarketWatchGoogle makes a fresh bet on nuclear power as the AI energy crunch intensifies68%
- Bloomberg MarketsGoogle, Constellation Energy Strike Nuclear Power Deal68%
- Bloomberg MarketsGoogle, Constellation Energy Deal; SpaceX Rises on Talks with NASA | Stock Movers68%
- Bloomberg TechnologyGoogle, Constellation Energy Strike Deal for Nuclear Power76%▲8 points since the previous source
- Bloomberg MarketsConstellation Energy Surges 12% on Google Nuclear Power Deal | Closing Bell75%▼1 points since the previous source
- The VergeGoogle’s power-hungry data centers crave nuclear energy75%
- www.theregister.comGoogle teams with nuclear power giant to give reactors a tune-up75%
- Current odds56%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Google’s power-hungry data centers crave nuclear energy The Verge ·
- Constellation Energy Surges 12% on Google Nuclear Power Deal | Closing Bell Bloomberg Markets ·
- Google, Constellation Energy Strike Deal for Nuclear Power Bloomberg Technology ·
- Google, Constellation Energy Deal; SpaceX Rises on Talks with NASA | Stock Movers Bloomberg Markets ·
- Google, Constellation Energy Strike Nuclear Power Deal Bloomberg Markets ·
- Google teams with nuclear power giant to give reactors a tune-up www.theregister.com
- Google makes a fresh bet on nuclear power as the AI energy crunch intensifies MarketWatch
- Google and Constellation sign 20-year nuclear power deal worth $4.3 billion Quartz
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Oil / Gas / Gasoline 56% −12
Does the market have this right?
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- Kalshi Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter 57%
Does the market have this right?
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In this story
- Constellation Energy
- Alphabet