Gold Price Falls Below $4,000 Amid Market Sell-Off
The precious metal has plunged below the $4,000 mark as investors flee to the safety of US Treasuries during a broader market sell-off.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 38% |
| 25 Oct, 09:07 UTC | 38% |
| 25 Oct, 07:11 UTC | 36% |
| 25 Oct, 05:51 UTC | 35% |
| 25 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 36% |
| 25 Oct, 04:05 UTC | 37% |
| 25 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 38% |
| 25 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 37% |
| 25 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 40% |
| 24 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 39% |
| 24 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 36% |
| 24 Oct, 16:01 UTC | 40% |
| 24 Oct, 13:00 UTC | 37% |
| 24 Oct, 11:05 UTC | 40% |
| 24 Oct, 10:51 UTC | 38% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 35% |
| 24 Oct, 04:25 UTC | 37% |
| 24 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Oct, 01:06 UTC | 40% |
| 24 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 37% |
| 23 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 38% |
| 23 Oct, 22:35 UTC | 40% |
| 23 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 37% |
| 23 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 35% |
| 23 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 34% |
| 23 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 34% |
| 23 Oct, 15:41 UTC | 30% |
| 23 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 29% |
| 23 Oct, 14:51 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Oct, 10:31 UTC | 30% |
| 23 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 25% |
| 23 Oct, 05:11 UTC | 30% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 29% |
| 22 Oct, 23:20 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 28% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 28% |
| 22 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 22% |
| 22 Oct, 14:17 UTC | 41% |
| 22 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Oct, 04:48 UTC | 44% |
| 22 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 45% |
| 22 Oct, 00:17 UTC | 45% |
| 21 Oct, 22:31 UTC | 39% |
| 21 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 45% |
| 21 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 40% |
| 21 Oct, 19:54 UTC | 43% |
| 21 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 39% |
| 21 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 42% |
| 21 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 45% |
| 21 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 53% |
| 21 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 48% |
| 21 Oct, 01:03 UTC | 45% |
| 21 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 47% |
| 20 Oct, 18:45 UTC | 49% |
| 20 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 47% |
| 20 Oct, 07:19 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 05:20 UTC | 51% |
| 1 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 51% |
| 1 Oct, 00:44 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 00:15 UTC | 52% |
| 30 Sept, 23:53 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Sept, 22:21 UTC | 46% |
| 30 Sept, 11:03 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 10:36 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Sept, 05:02 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 00:10 UTC | 45% |
| 29 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 47% |
| 29 Sept, 23:23 UTC | 46% |
| 29 Sept, 21:32 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 50% |
| 29 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 44% |
| 29 Sept, 06:12 UTC | 46% |
| 28 Sept, 05:22 UTC | 53% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 23 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 23 October at 14:37 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- 4,300 or above — the market puts it at 38%, with $305 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the price of gold is above $4,300 per troy ounce at exactly 5:00 PM EST on December 31, 2026. It resolves to No if the price is $4,300 or lower at that specific time. Readers often mistake the resolution for a daily close or an average price over the day.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi 4,300 or above 38% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Gold
- US Treasuries