Germany puts Ukrainian on trial for Nord Stream pipeline attacks
A Ukrainian citizen faces trial in Hamburg, accused of the 2022 sabotage that raised questions about Kyiv's role and German support.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 14 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 40% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Germany respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 13 Oct 2026. Deutsche Welle published first, on 13 October at 12:40 UTC; BBC News followed 11h 02m later. The most recent article, from BBC News, appeared on 13 October at 23:42 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Deutsche Welle, BBC News.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Germany — the market puts it at 5%, closing 1 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in Germany before January 1, 2029, following their scheduled August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the Alaska meeting for the deadline, but the actual cutoff is January 1, 2029.
- Ukraine — the market puts it at 2%, with $199 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump physically travels to and stays within Ukraine’s borders between now and January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake a scheduled visit or a virtual meeting for physical presence.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Germany at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Germany 5%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Ukraine 2% −4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls