G20 Officials Announce Milwaukee Framework to Curb Global Steel Glut
G20 trade officials in Milwaukee unveiled a framework to tackle market-distorting subsidies amid shifting global opinion on tariffs.
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Sept, 09:28 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 09:14 UTC | 8% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 2 articles since 1 Oct 2026. Axios published first, on 1 October at 16:33 UTC. The most recent article, from Axios, appeared on 1 October at 16:33 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- China — the market puts it at 13%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a free trade deal with China becomes law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or via a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed by the President before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the announcement of talks for the actual passage of legislation.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi China 13%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Donald Trump
- G20