France Opens Attempted Murder Probe After Molotov Attack on Police
Prosecutors have launched an investigation after a Molotov cocktail struck an officer during nationwide protests that resulted in 779 arrests.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 14:37 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 05:40 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 8% |
| 31 Oct, 20:50 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Oct, 10:43 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 10:20 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 07:48 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Oct, 13:22 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Oct, 05:44 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Oct, 01:09 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Oct, 00:34 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Oct, 23:54 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 22:18 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Oct, 18:45 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Oct, 17:23 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 16:17 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 15:19 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 13:57 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Oct, 16:30 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 14:43 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 07:37 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 10% |
| 27 Oct, 05:06 UTC | 10% |
| 27 Oct, 04:13 UTC | 10% |
| 27 Oct, 03:59 UTC | 10% |
| 27 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 12% |
| 25 Oct, 17:35 UTC | 13% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 1 Nov 2026. Times of India published first, on 1 November at 09:55 UTC; Deutsche Welle followed 4h 54m later. The most recent article, from Deutsche Welle, appeared on 1 November at 14:50 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Times of India, Deutsche Welle.
One prediction market prices this story:
- France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? — the market puts it at 5%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if an authorized French government representative makes an on-the-record public statement explicitly claiming that a foreign country deliberately caused or facilitated the unrest by November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The outcome is No if no such direct claim of deliberate intent exists from an official source within that deadline.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? 5% −4
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In this story
- France
- Paris