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France Approves 31% Tax on Stablecoin Trades Starting 2027

The National Assembly adopted an amendment removing tax deferral for MiCA-compliant stablecoins, while other crypto proposals remain under consideration.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 19 Oct 2026 · updated 2h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · France
0%50%100%6%17 Oct, 09:08 UTCnowCoinDesk: France's parliament approves vote to hit stablecoin trades with 31% capital gains tax · 20 Oct, 11:25 UTCCointelegraph.com News: France advances stablecoin tax, eyes self-custodial wallets and exit tax proposals · 19 Oct, 10:22 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now6%
17 Oct, 09:08 UTC6%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 19 Oct 2026. Cointelegraph.com News published first, on 19 October at 10:22 UTC; CoinDesk followed 25h 03m later. The most recent article, from CoinDesk, appeared on 20 October at 11:25 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: CoinDesk (major outlet), Cointelegraph.com News.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • France — the market puts it at 6%, closing 1 Jan 2030. The market resolves to Yes if France holds a national referendum on leaving the European Union before January 1, 2030. It resolves to No if no such referendum occurs by that date. Readers often mistake general protests or political debates for an official referendum.
  • Above -5.0% of GDP — the market puts it at 19%, with $54 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Apr 2027. The market resolves to Yes if France's general government net lending or borrowing balance for 2026 exceeds -5.0% of GDP. It resolves to No if that balance is equal to or below -5.0% of GDP. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the resolution depends on current events rather than the specific 2026 fiscal data.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. France's parliament approves vote to hit stablecoin trades with 31% capital gains tax CoinDesk ·
  2. France advances stablecoin tax, eyes self-custodial wallets and exit tax proposals Cointelegraph.com News

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi France 6% $0 24hends 1 Jan 2030

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Above -5.0% of GDP 19% −6 $54 24hends 20 Apr 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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