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Florida's Baugh Apologizes to Coach After Loss to Missouri Hot: Odds moved 12 points in 24 hours

The running back sent a text message to head coach Jon Sumrall following the Gators' 45-17 defeat against Missouri on Sunday.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 5 Oct 2026 · updated 1h ago

The odds

How the odds moved · Jadan Baugh
0%50%100%1%28 Sept, 19:18 UTCnowwww.espn.com: Gators RB Baugh texts apology to Sumrall after loss: 'Won't let that happen again' · 5 Oct, 16:46 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now1%
4 Oct, 06:46 UTC2%
4 Oct, 05:37 UTC2%
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3 Oct, 19:56 UTC9%
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3 Oct, 16:53 UTC12%
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30 Sept, 10:29 UTC9%
30 Sept, 06:34 UTC8%
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29 Sept, 23:46 UTC8%
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29 Sept, 11:56 UTC8%
29 Sept, 10:59 UTC7%
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29 Sept, 06:22 UTC9%
28 Sept, 19:18 UTC7%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 5 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 5 October at 16:46 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Jadan Baugh — the market puts it at 1%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Jadan Baugh wins the College Football Heisman Trophy during the 2026-2027 season; otherwise, it is No. Readers often mistake the linked game result as the deciding factor, but only the official Heisman award matters. The deadline for this event is the conclusion of the 2026-2027 college football season.
  • Jadan Baugh — the market puts it at 15%, with $35 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Jadan Baugh is named a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy. It resolves to No if he does not receive that specific selection. Readers often mistake his apology or any other award for the required Heisman finalist status.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Gators RB Baugh texts apology to Sumrall after loss: 'Won't let that happen again' www.espn.com ·

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Jadan Baugh 1% $2k 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Jadan Baugh 15% −12 $35 24hends 7 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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