Florida Dengue Outbreak Becomes Largest in Continental U.S. in Decades Hot: Odds moved 19 points in 24 hours
State health officials report over 250 locally acquired cases, marking the most significant outbreak in the region for several decades.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 96% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Oct, 18:46 UTC | 77% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 3 Oct 2026. MedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians published first, on 3 October at 14:00 UTC; The Hill followed 4h 45m later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 3 October at 18:45 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), MedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians.
One prediction market prices this story:
- 250 or more — the market puts it at 96%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 24 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Florida reports at least 250 locally acquired dengue cases in 2026. It resolves to No if the total falls below that threshold. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on current news rather than the full year's official count.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi 250 or more 96% +19
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