Five DSA Candidates Elected to House in Historic Win for Movement
The Democratic Socialists of America see their congressional presence expand as five candidates win House seats, capitalizing on voter frustration with the political status quo.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 98% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Nov, 22:34 UTC | 93% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 20:12 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 93% |
| 3 Nov, 17:51 UTC | 93% |
| 3 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 93% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 13:04 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 11:52 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 09:27 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 04:43 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 93% |
| 3 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 93% |
| 3 Nov, 00:05 UTC | 94% |
| 2 Nov, 22:54 UTC | 94% |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 94% |
| 2 Nov, 20:30 UTC | 94% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 94% |
| 2 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 94% |
| 2 Nov, 17:04 UTC | 94% |
| 2 Nov, 15:56 UTC | 94% |
| 2 Nov, 14:49 UTC | 94% |
| 2 Nov, 13:41 UTC | 94% |
| 2 Nov, 12:34 UTC | 94% |
| 2 Nov, 10:07 UTC | 94% |
| 2 Nov, 05:24 UTC | 94% |
| 2 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 94% |
| 2 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 93% |
| 1 Nov, 22:10 UTC | 93% |
| 1 Nov, 19:45 UTC | 93% |
| 1 Nov, 18:33 UTC | 93% |
| 1 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Nov, 16:07 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Nov, 15:00 UTC | 93% |
| 1 Nov, 12:33 UTC | 93% |
| 1 Nov, 11:19 UTC | 93% |
| 1 Nov, 06:36 UTC | 93% |
| 1 Nov, 04:15 UTC | 93% |
| 1 Nov, 03:04 UTC | 93% |
| 1 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Nov, 00:41 UTC | 94% |
| 31 Oct, 23:31 UTC | 94% |
| 31 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 94% |
| 31 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 94% |
| 31 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 94% |
| 31 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 94% |
| 31 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 94% |
| 31 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 94% |
| 31 Oct, 15:15 UTC | 94% |
| 31 Oct, 14:08 UTC | 94% |
| 31 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 94% |
| 31 Oct, 11:42 UTC | 94% |
| 31 Oct, 10:30 UTC | 94% |
| 31 Oct, 06:57 UTC | 94% |
| 31 Oct, 00:57 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Oct, 18:37 UTC | 93% |
| 30 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 93% |
| 30 Oct, 16:10 UTC | 93% |
| 30 Oct, 14:58 UTC | 92% |
| 30 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 92% |
| 30 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 92% |
| 30 Oct, 11:10 UTC | 92% |
| 30 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 92% |
| 30 Oct, 05:00 UTC | 92% |
| 30 Oct, 03:47 UTC | 92% |
| 30 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 92% |
| 30 Oct, 00:06 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Oct, 19:00 UTC | 91% |
| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 91% |
| 29 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 91% |
| 29 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 91% |
| 29 Oct, 11:39 UTC | 91% |
| 29 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 91% |
| 29 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 91% |
| 29 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 91% |
| 29 Oct, 01:38 UTC | 91% |
| 29 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 10:48 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 09:31 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 07:01 UTC | 91% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 4 Nov 2026. South China Morning Post published first, on 4 November at 03:41 UTC; NPR Politics followed 3 min later. The most recent article, from NPR Politics, appeared on 4 November at 03:44 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: NPR Politics (major outlet), South China Morning Post.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Democratic Party — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if the Democratic Party controls the House after the 2026 elections. The outcome is No if they do not control the House. Readers often mistake the election date for the resolution deadline, but the result depends on who holds power in 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Democratic Party Yes 21m ago
The market favoured Yes at 94% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Democratic Socialists of America
- Zohran Mamdani