FBI Director Kash Patel Engaged to Alexis Wilkins
The FBI director and his girlfriend announced their engagement on social media, sharing a photo of the ring.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 5 Oct, 01:10 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Oct, 13:40 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Oct, 01:07 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 9% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 10% |
| 2 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 21:03 UTC | 10% |
| 1 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Sept, 12:38 UTC | 17% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Sept, 05:31 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Sept, 05:17 UTC | 18% |
| 30 Sept, 01:44 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Sept, 01:08 UTC | 19% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 15% |
| 29 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 13:35 UTC | 20% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 15% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 13% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 5 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 5 October at 00:08 UTC; South China Morning Post followed 1h 20m later. The most recent article, from South China Morning Post, appeared on 5 October at 01:28 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), South China Morning Post.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before Dec 1, 2026 — the market puts it at 8%, with $33 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Kash Patel leaves his position as FBI Director before December 1, 2026. The outcome is No if he remains in that role through that date. Readers often mistake the resignation of a deputy director for the departure of the director.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Before Dec 1, 2026 8% +1
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In this story
- Kash Patel
- Alexis Wilkins