Farage questioned over £5m gift from crypto billionaire
The standards commissioner interviews the Reform UK leader regarding whether he should have declared a £5m donation from Christopher Harborne.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 12% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 4 Oct 2026. The Guardian Business published first, on 4 October at 15:04 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 12%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Nigel Farage steps down as Leader of Reform UK before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he remains in that role through that date. Readers often mistake news reports of him being questioned for an actual departure from the leadership position.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Markets on this story
- Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 12%
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In this story
- Nigel Farage
- Christopher Harborne
- Reform UK