Executives Attend Sold-Out Oil and Gas Conference in Venezuela
The event draws 650 foreign and local executives, government officials and diplomats to Caracas with over 150 more on the waiting list.
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The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 29 Sept 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 29 September at 18:12 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Shell — the market puts it at 58%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Shell or its controlled affiliate signs a binding agreement granting an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the signing date for the resolution deadline, but the agreement must be executed prior to that specific date.
- At least 1.1M bpd — the market puts it at 59%, closing 13 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Venezuela’s average daily crude oil production for September reaches at least 1.1 million barrels per day. The resolution depends on data in the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published after that month.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Shell 58%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi At least 1.1M bpd 59%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 17:38 UTC | 58% |
| 22 Sept, 18:10 UTC | 68% |
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Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
In this story
- Venezuela International Oil and Gas Summit