Shell
Implied probability 68%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 68% |
| 22 Sept, 18:10 UTC | 68% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Shell or its controlled affiliate signs a binding agreement granting an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the signing date for the resolution deadline, but the agreement must be executed prior to that specific date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 68%
- No 32%