England Avoid Australia And India In 2027 World Cup Draw Hot: Odds moved 18 points in 24 hours
The team has been placed in a group that does not include the defending champions or the top-ranked side for the upcoming tournament.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 1 Oct 2026. BBC Sport published first, on 1 October at 16:31 UTC; SkySports followed 56 min later. The most recent article, from SkySports, appeared on 1 October at 17:28 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: BBC Sport, SkySports.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- England — the market puts it at 15%, closing 9 Aug 2027. The market resolves to Yes if England wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup. It resolves to No if any other team wins the tournament. Readers often mistake the current match against Spain for the decisive event, but only the final winner of the entire 2027 tournament counts.
- Draw/Tie — the market puts it at 23%, with $40k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 6 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if the India A versus Australia A men's professional Test series ends in a draw or tie. The outcome is No if either team wins the series. Readers often mistake the linked story about Australia and South Africa for the relevant match, but this market depends solely on the result of the India A vs Australia A series.
- Will England win on 2026-10-03? — the market puts it at 53%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if England wins the match scheduled for October 3, 2026, based solely on the score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The outcome depends entirely on the official final result recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Readers often mistake the linked story about a past defeat as relevant, but this market applies only to the future game in question.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi England 15%
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- Kalshi Draw/Tie 23% −18
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Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will England win on 2026-10-03? 53% +1
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Wrong market?
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 15% |
| 30 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 15% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 05:02 UTC | 8% |
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Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.