Draw/Tie
Why it moved: −15 points at 22:21 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: Australia deny South Africa series sweep as Carey returns to form in rain-affected third ODI — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 21% |
| 1 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Oct, 17:22 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Oct, 13:13 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 28% |
| 1 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 27% |
| 1 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 24% |
| 1 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 24% |
| 1 Oct, 10:06 UTC | 33% |
| 1 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 35% |
| 1 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 34% |
| 1 Oct, 07:09 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 28% |
| 1 Oct, 05:20 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 36% |
| 1 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 33% |
| 1 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Oct, 01:34 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Oct, 01:20 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 23:53 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Sept, 23:13 UTC | 37% |
| 30 Sept, 22:37 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Sept, 22:21 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 42% |
| 30 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 46% |
| 30 Sept, 16:09 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Sept, 13:38 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 32% |
| 30 Sept, 11:03 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Sept, 09:44 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Sept, 08:35 UTC | 42% |
| 30 Sept, 07:22 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Sept, 06:05 UTC | 40% |
| 30 Sept, 04:55 UTC | 29% |
| 30 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 23% |
| 30 Sept, 01:01 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Sept, 22:30 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Sept, 14:36 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 24% |
| 29 Sept, 10:45 UTC | 19% |
| 29 Sept, 09:30 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 10% |
| 28 Sept, 05:27 UTC | 11% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the India A versus Australia A men's professional Test series ends in a draw or tie. The outcome is No if either team wins the series. Readers often mistake the linked story about Australia and South Africa for the relevant match, but this market depends solely on the result of the India A vs Australia A series.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 21%
- No 79%