Ellison Pledged SpaceX, Oracle, Tesla Stock for Loans Before Warner Deal Closed

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 21 Oct 2026. Quartz published first, on 21 October at 12:10 UTC; Variety followed 5h 45m later. The most recent article, from Variety, appeared on 21 October at 17:55 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), Quartz.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Tesla — resolved “Yes” on 21 Oct 2026.
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? — the market puts it at 50%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jul 2027. The market resolves to "Yes" if Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a merger or acquisition that results in one company controlling the other by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to "No" if no such controlling interest is announced by that deadline. Readers often mistake partial sales for qualifying events; only transactions granting control over strategic decisions count.
• Before Nov 1, 2026 — the market puts it at 2%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive agreement to merge or acquire each other before November 1, 2026. The announcement must be binding and result in common corporate ownership or a transfer of controlling interest. Readers often mistake analyst speculation for an official corporate announcement.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.