Tesla
The market favoured Yes at 85% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolved31 Mar 2027
Why it moved: +32 points at 18:05 UTC, after Variety: Will Elon Musk Help the Ellisons Pay Down Skydance’s Massive Debt? John Malone Predicts Tech Mogul’s SpaceX Could Invest up to $10 Billion Into Media Company — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 21 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 99% |
| 20 Oct, 13:44 UTC | 67% |
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%