Egypt's El-Sisi Announces He Will Not Seek Fourth Term
The announcement signals a potential new leadership arrangement as Egypt enters the next phase of military rule.
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The odds
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 22 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 8% |
| 21 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 8% |
| 21 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 9% |
| 16 Oct, 18:10 UTC | 5% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 28 Oct 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 28 October at 06:36 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Abdel Fattah el-Sisi — the market puts it at 8%, closing 1 Jan 2035. The market resolves to Yes if Abdel Fattah el-Sisi leaves his role as President of Egypt before any other listed leader. It resolves to No if he remains in office while another listed leader departs first. Readers often mistake the pledge to leave office in 2030 for an actual departure, but only the actual exit matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Abdel Fattah el-Sisi 8%
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In this story
- El-Sisi
- Egypt