Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves1 Jan 2035
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 18:10 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Abdel Fattah el-Sisi leaves his role as President of Egypt before any other listed leader. It resolves to No if he remains in office while another listed leader departs first. Readers often mistake the pledge to leave office in 2030 for an actual departure, but only the actual exit matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%