Democrats Bet on Energy Pivot to Flip Texas
The party is betting that embracing a variety of energy sources can end three decades of opposition in the Lone Star State.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 03:06 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 07:46 UTC | 6% |
| 13 Oct, 23:53 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Oct, 13:30 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Sept, 04:15 UTC | 3% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 29 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 29 October at 12:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Texas only — the market puts it at 3%, with $455 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if Democrats win the Texas Class II Senate seat while simultaneously losing the Alaska Class II, Iowa Class II, and Ohio Class III seats for the term starting in 2027. The outcome is No if any of those other three races result in a Democratic victory. Readers often mistake the Ohio race deadline, which applies to the 2027 term, as the immediate election date.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
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- Kalshi Texas only 3% +2
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In this story
- Democrats
- Texas