Crypto Week Ahead: Fed, ECB and BOJ Rate Decisions and Coinbase Earnings
The week starting Oct. 26 features central bank interest-rate decisions from the Fed, ECB and BOJ alongside Coinbase earnings.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 07:37 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 22:13 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 21:21 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 11:14 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 04:49 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 17:29 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 22:02 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 04:24 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 23:27 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 17:09 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 16:26 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 13:56 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 12:36 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 07:08 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 04:41 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 01:37 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 23:28 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 21:04 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 17:05 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 13:40 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 12:14 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 11:01 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 10:39 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 10:17 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 08:58 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 08:03 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 07:36 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 06:30 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 04:26 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 03:57 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 16:41 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 15:51 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 13:13 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 12:46 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 09:39 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 06:02 UTC | 2% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 26 Oct 2026. CoinDesk published first, on 26 October at 09:14 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? — the market puts it at 3%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 9 Dec 2026. Yes resolves if the Fed makes a different decision (cut, hike, or pause) in all three upcoming FOMC meetings compared to their previous decisions. No resolves if the Fed makes the same decision in all three upcoming FOMC meetings as they did previously.
- Fed maintains rate — the market puts it at 23%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 9 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if the Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged by hiking them zero basis points on December 9, 2026. The outcome is No for any other action or date. Readers often mistake the resolution source as general market sentiment rather than the specific Federal Reserve decision on that exact day.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? 3% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Fed maintains rate 23%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Fed
- ECB
- BOJ
- Coinbase