Fed maintains rate
Implied probability 23%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$431k
Liquidity$431k
Resolves9 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 23% |
| 26 Oct, 09:46 UTC | 23% |
| 23 Oct, 14:51 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Oct, 17:50 UTC | 22% |
| 21 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 21% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 22% |
| 20 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 21% |
| 20 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 22% |
| 20 Oct, 14:33 UTC | 23% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged by hiking them zero basis points on December 9, 2026. The outcome is No for any other action or date. Readers often mistake the resolution source as general market sentiment rather than the specific Federal Reserve decision on that exact day.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 23%
- No 77%