Colleen Hoover's 'Verity' Thrills With $4.5M Previews Ahead of Theatrical Release
The Amazon MGM Studios adaptation of the author's thriller grosses $4.5 million in previews, trailing its predecessor It Ends With Us.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 2 Oct, 15:51 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 15:51 UTC | 5% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 30 Sept 2026. Variety published first, on 30 September at 21:10 UTC; Deadline followed 41h 49m later. The most recent article, from Variety, appeared on 2 October at 15:41 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), Deadline.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? — the market puts it at 1%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the domestic opening weekend gross for "Verity" falls between $22 million and $25 million, based on final figures from The Numbers website. The source of truth is the finalized 3-day box office performance data listed under the Weekend Box Office Performance tab on that site.
- Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m? — the market puts it at 14%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the domestic opening weekend gross reaches $36 million or more, based on final figures from The Numbers website for the October 2–4 period. Readers often mistake preliminary studio estimates or preview earnings for the final count, but only the confirmed total after the weekend ends matters. If ambiguity persists, the market waits for Box Office Mojo to confirm the same finalized data.
- Above 50 — the market puts it at 1%, with $15k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 5 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if the Tomatometer score for Verity exceeds 50 on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the date of the theatrical release or preview earnings for the resolution criteria instead of the specific Tomatometer score deadline.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- VarietyColleen Hoover’s ‘Verity’ Returns to Top of Book Charts Following Film Adaptation Release—
- DeadlineHere Are All The Songs In The ‘Verity’ Film Adaptation: From FKA Twigs To Kali Uchis5%
- Deadline‘Verity’ Thrills $4.5M Previews, ‘Digger’ Shovels $1M+ – Box Office Update5%
- VarietyBox Office: ‘Verity’ Makes $4.5 Million in Previews, ‘Digger’ Behind With $1.2 Million5%
- Current odds1%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Box Office: ‘Verity’ Makes $4.5 Million in Previews, ‘Digger’ Behind With $1.2 Million Variety ·
- Colleen Hoover’s ‘Verity’ Returns to Top of Book Charts Following Film Adaptation Release Variety ·
- ‘Verity’ Thrills $4.5M Previews, ‘Digger’ Shovels $1M+ – Box Office Update Deadline
- Here Are All The Songs In The ‘Verity’ Film Adaptation: From FKA Twigs To Kali Uchis Deadline
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? 1% −4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m? 14%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Above 50 1% −3
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Colleen Hoover
- Verity
- Amazon MGM Studios
- Dakota Johnson
- Anne Hathaway