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Chipotle Earnings Miss Estimates as Same-Store Sales Rise Hot: Odds moved 57 points in 24 hours

Chipotle reported full-year earnings that fell short of analyst expectations, even as its same-store sales increased for the third consecutive quarter.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 28 Oct 2026 · updated 2h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Above 1%
0%50%100%99%27 Oct, 20:20 UTCnowCNBC: Chipotle earnings miss estimates, but same-store sales increase for third straight quarter · 28 Oct, 20:11 UTCMarketWatch: Chipotle expects modestly higher sales this year as drive-thru ‘Chipotlanes’ come to more stores · 28 Oct, 20:58 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now99%
28 Oct, 20:44 UTC99%
27 Oct, 20:20 UTC65%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 28 Oct 2026. CNBC published first, on 28 October at 20:11 UTC; MarketWatch followed 47 min later. The most recent article, from MarketWatch, appeared on 28 October at 20:58 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: CNBC (major outlet), MarketWatch.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Above 1% — resolved “Yes” on 28 Oct 2026.
  • Al Pastor — the market puts it at 2%, with $792 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 26 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a Chipotle representative mentions Al Pastor during the next live earnings call or official broadcast, including the question-and-answer session. It resolves to No if no one says the phrase in those specific settings. Readers often mistake any mention of the dish on social media or in press releases for a valid trigger.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Chipotle earnings miss estimates, but same-store sales increase for third straight quarter CNBC ·
  2. Chipotle expects modestly higher sales this year as drive-thru ‘Chipotlanes’ come to more stores MarketWatch

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved Above 1% Yes 2h ago

    The market favoured Yes at 65% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Al Pastor 2% −57 $792 24hends 26 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Chipotle
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