Above 1%
The market favoured Yes at 65% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolved19 Feb 2027
Why it moved: +34 points at 20:44 UTC, after CNBC: Chipotle earnings miss estimates, but same-store sales increase for third straight quarter — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 28 Oct, 20:44 UTC | 99% |
| 27 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 65% |
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%