Al Pastor
Why it moved: −47 points at 21:57 UTC, after MarketWatch: Chipotle expects modestly higher sales this year as drive-thru ‘Chipotlanes’ come to more stores — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 19% |
| 28 Oct, 21:22 UTC | 66% |
| 28 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 51% |
| 27 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 55% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Chipotle representative mentions Al Pastor during the next live earnings call or official broadcast, including the question-and-answer session. It resolves to No if no one says the phrase in those specific settings. Readers often mistake any mention of the dish on social media or in press releases for a valid trigger.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%