Chelsea draw with Lyon on Bompastor's return
The English club secured a point in the Champions League against their former coach's side.
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 18% |
| 2 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 31% |
| 1 Oct, 06:08 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 30% |
| 26 Sept, 17:32 UTC | 31% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 23% |
| 25 Sept, 14:16 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Sept, 23:02 UTC | 19% |
| 23 Sept, 21:36 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 20:36 UTC | 11% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 30 Sept 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 30 September at 21:11 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Chelsea — the market puts it at 18%, with $86 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. Chelsea must finish in the top two of the 2026-27 English Premier League season for the market to resolve to Yes. Any other finishing position results in a No resolution. Readers often mistake the linked story about a Women's Champions League win as relevant, but only the final league standings determine the outcome.
- Chelsea — the market puts it at 93%, with $5 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Chelsea finishes in the top half of the 2026-27 English Premier League table. It resolves to No if the club finishes outside that range. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the regular season rather than the final standings confirmation.
- Chelsea — the market puts it at 48%, with $19 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Chelsea finishes in the top four of the 2026-27 English Premier League season. It resolves to No if they do not finish in that position. Readers often mistake the linked WCL match for the deciding factor, but only the final league standings determine the outcome.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Chelsea 18% −3
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Chelsea 93% +7
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Chelsea 48% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Chelsea
- Sonia Bompastor
- Lyon